ABSTRACT
The pandemic of the coronavirus (COVID-19) has caused an unprecedented global public health crisis, and most countries in the world are running out of the healthcare resources. A fine-grained COVID-19 vulnerability map will be essential to track the number of people with covid-like symptoms, so that the the potential outbreak communities can be identified and the valuable healthcare resources can proactively and dynamically be allocated. Mobile crowdsourcing based symptom reporting is a promising and convenient option to construct such a map, while it may compromise the location privacy of crowdsourcing participants. In this work, we propose a novel approach to establish the COVID-19 vulnerability map based on the crowdsourced reporting without disclosing the participants' location privacy to a semi-honest crowdsourcing aggregator. Briefly, based on the differentially private geo-indistinguishability, the mobile participants are able to locally perturb their geographic data. With the masked geographic information, we employ the best linear unbiased prediction estimator with spatial smoothing to obtain the reliable vulnerability estimates in the areas of interest and construct the map. Given the fast spreading nature of coronavirus, we integrate the vulnerability estimates with a susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) model to build up a future trend map. Extensive simulations based on real-world data verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.